Why Is THIS Enough? NOW They Want Trump To Pull Out!

By

Leonard Zwelling

         A friend just emailed incredulous that the latest revelatory video of Donald Trump speaking like a 16-year old locker room gym rat about a woman is the straw that seems to have broken the back of the rest of the GOP who cannot run away fast enough. He posited that while Trump has vilified Muslims, Mexicans and the disabled, none of whom would vote for him in appreciable numbers, once he bad-mouths women, that’s the last straw.

         I think Donald has been on the last straw for over a year and the camel is a dead horse.

         People are begging the Republicans to do something, but Michael Steele, a former GOP chair, made the point on MSNBC that the only way Trump can be replaced on the top of the ticket at this point is by dying or by quitting. The first is far more likely than the second.

         Personally, I don’t find these latest Access Hollywood comments to a Bush cousin any different than the other offensive comments that Mr. Trump has made all along. What is curious now is how each other Republican will be positioning himself or herself over the next 30 days to make sure they have a future in politics, because in two or four years, a reporter is going to ask every one of them what you did in the days and hours following the release of this videotape and it had better be “I withdrew my Trump endorsement.” That Trump has a potty mouth and dirty mind is not exactly news. Maybe it is to all those Republicans who backed him. That should disqualify them from holding further office.

         What is not clear at all is whether or not this will affect the down ballot races for the Senate and House given that many of the former seem to be predetermined and most of the latter surely are.

         So let’s say that the likely occurs.

         Donald will not withdraw and will go down to a landslide defeat to an opponent that almost any of his primary challengers could have beaten except perhaps Ted Cruz and Gentle Ben. Mike Pence will likely have cemented his hold on the Republican nomination for 2020 so that we can finally find out if the reason the Republicans keep losing the White House is that they run lousy candidates (Bush 41, Dole, Bush 43 in 2000, McCain and Romney) or ones who are not conservative enough. Pence is conservative enough. Enough to make you heave if you check into his voting and governing record. If you want to find someone who wants to narrow the rights of women, Mike Pence is your guy. It is truly ironic that the first woman to be nominated for President by a major party is running against the most misogynistic ticket in history.

         The Senate will likely swing to the Dems by a hair. Given that the President of the Senate is likely to be Tim Kaine, the tie breaker-in-chief will give all the Senate committee chair seats to the Democrats. Hillary might be able to get something through the Senate, although she will still need 60 votes to get by the filibuster-loving GOP with the bruised male egos that are likely to be a significant minority. I saw it for myself in 2009 after the Obama landslide.

         Not in the House where even a hint of working with the new President Clinton will get you primaried from the far, far right. My guess is that Mrs. Clinton will focus on foreign policy because she knows it well and can do a lot there without having to pass legislation through the hostile House. It is doubtful that health care reform can go forward and ditto just about everything else on the domestic front. Maybe she can get investment in infrastructure through. If I were she, that would be my first domestic priority as it would increase jobs and stimulate the economy and even the GOP might vote for that if the new President makes sure the infrastructure pork is seeded to GOP as well as Democratic congressional districts.

         It appears that the 2016 election will end with a whimper, not a bang. The Republicans are going to be contemplating how they could have let this happen for years. Reince Priebus may never work in Washington again. He probably shouldn’t.

         The GOP has made a mess of this whole process. The Dems almost did, but The Donald saved them.

         It is always mystifying to me why one event is the tipping point when there have been so many others that could have served the purpose of functionally ending the Trump train wreck.

I certainly feel that way about MD Anderson. What is going to take to finally wake up the sleeping sloths in Austin to the damage being done on Holcombe to the crown jewel of the UT System? I have no idea. Maybe the $400 million short fall will be enough. Maybe.

And as for the debate, as if that matters any longer, I don’t see why the GOP is happy with Trump’s performance, but the networks appear to think the Trumpites are satisfied. Good for them. There was only one person on that stage who could be President and it wasn’t the one with the Y chromosome. Heck, Trump even turned on his running mate. And he wants to lock up his opponent, clearly thinking he is in a banana republic. But as Hillary said, Trump does live in an alternative world.

Leonard Zwelling